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A Confidence Calibration Game

A Confidence Calibration Game

by SleepyJack·Feb 26, 2026·1 point·0 comments

AI Analysis

MidCozy

Trivia game measuring confidence calibration, but calibration training already exists (Metaculus, Good Judgment).

Strengths
  • Clean UX for confidence tracking; range-based estimation with numerical feedback loop.
  • Persistent scoring across sessions motivates repeat play for self-improvement.
Weaknesses
  • Concept is not novel; Metaculus, Good Judgment Open, and university calibration labs predate this.
  • AI-generated questions lack context around difficulty; no explanation of why answers are correct.
Category
Target Audience

Data professionals, forecasters, anyone testing epistemic calibration skills

Similar To

Metaculus · Good Judgment Project · PredictionBook

Post Description

I made a trivia game for testing confidence calibration on data questions.

It presents AI generated questions with numerical answers. You submit your estimate and confidence level, and the game tracks your accuracy score plus whether you're over/under confident over time.

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