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I logged 38 days of LLM forecasts to study behavior

I logged 38 days of LLM forecasts to study behavior

by clsia·Mar 15, 2026·2 points·1 comment

AI Analysis

MidNiche Gem

Useful calibration dataset, but it's just logged outputs without analysis tools.

Strengths
  • Look-ahead-bias-free design with proper checkpoint tracking per prediction
  • Structured schema includes confidence scores and rationale for each forecast
Weaknesses
  • Just a dataset dump with no visualization or analysis tools included
  • Limited to 38 days of data with unclear if collection is ongoing
Category
Target Audience

ML researchers studying LLM calibration and forecasting behavior

Similar To

HELM · BigBench · LMSys datasets

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